Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ZADAR (CROATIA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 21 March 2023, Tuesday


	Manuel Guinard		Alessandro Giannessi

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.15	1.67
	2.15	1.72
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.16	1.64	Watch
	2.1	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.86)	1.68 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manuel Guinard
44.3%

Alessandro Giannessi
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manuel Guinard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manuel Guinard's form might have worsened.

Alessandro Giannessi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alessandro Giannessi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manuel Guinard than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandro Giannessi than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Manuel Guinard - Alessandro Giannessi Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Guinard will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Giannessi will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Giannessi: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Guinard is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Giannessi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guinard could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Guinard won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manuel Guinard
ATP Challenger
15.03.23	Manuel Guinard - Nino Serdarusic	1:2 ✺
13.03.23	Manuel Guinard - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:1 ✺
06.03.23	Mika Brunold - Manuel Guinard	2:1 ✺
28.02.23	Manuel Guinard - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
ATP Marseille
19.02.23	Zsombor Piros - Manuel Guinard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLL
- Alessandro Giannessi
ATP Challenger
16.03.23	Alessandro Giannessi - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
14.03.23	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Alessandro Giannessi	1:2 ✺
09.03.23	Alessandro Giannessi - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
07.03.23	Alessandro Giannessi - Lucas Gerch	2:0 ✺
14.02.23	Tomas Machac - Alessandro Giannessi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.03.22	Manuel Guinard - Alessandro Giannessi	2:0
18.07.19	Alessandro Giannessi - Manuel Guinard	2:1

Manuel Guinard - Alessandro Giannessi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide