Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: POZNAN (POLAND), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 22 June 2023, Thursday


	Manuel Guinard		Mariano Navone

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.87	1.83
	1.89	1.89
	1.94	1.94
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.76	2.01	Watch
	1.9	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.15)	1.9 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manuel Guinard
50.6%

Mariano Navone
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manuel Guinard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manuel Guinard's performance.

Mariano Navone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mariano Navone might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manuel Guinard than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manuel Guinard that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mariano Navone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Manuel Guinard - Mariano Navone Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Guinard will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Navone will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guinard: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Guinard could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Guinard won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manuel Guinard
ATP Challenger
21.06.23	Manuel Guinard - Jerome Kym	2:0 ✺
20.06.23	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Manuel Guinard	Blancaneaux G. retired ✺
19.06.23	Javier Barranco Cosano - Manuel Guinard	0:2 ✺
18.06.23	Borys Zgola - Manuel Guinard	0:2 ✺
13.06.23	Ivan Gakhov - Manuel Guinard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 W?WWL
- Mariano Navone
ATP Challenger
21.06.23	Maks Kasnikowski - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
20.06.23	Mariano Navone - Federico Coria	2:1 ✺
13.06.23	Gianluca Mager - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
06.06.23	Jelle Sels - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
01.06.23	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLLL

Manuel Guinard - Mariano Navone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide