Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PROSTEJOV (CZECH REPUBLIC), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 6 June 2023, Tuesday


	Jelle Sels		Mariano Navone

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.1	1.7
	2.12	1.75
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.29	1.57	Watch
	1.34	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.85)	1.88 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelle Sels
48.4%

Mariano Navone
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelle Sels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jelle Sels's performance.

Mariano Navone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mariano Navone might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (-20.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jelle Sels that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (+20.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mariano Navone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Jelle Sels - Mariano Navone Predictions

Users Predictions: Mariano Navone will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sels has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Navone is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Navone could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
29.05.23	Mats Moraing - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.23	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.05.23	Jelle Sels - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
27.04.23	Max Houkes - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Mariano Navone
ATP Challenger
01.06.23	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
30.05.23	Federico Gaio - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
23.05.23	Mariano Navone - Lukas Klein	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.23	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
28.04.23	Mariano Navone - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLLW

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