Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Hammamet 5 (Tunisia), clay - Final

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday


	Manuel Guinard		Oleksandr Ovcharenko

	1	2
	1.9	1.78
	1.8	1.9
	1.96	1.81
	1.96	1.81
	1.91	1.8
	1.9	1.82	Watch
	1.86	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.63)	1.82 ↓ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manuel Guinard
48.9%

Oleksandr Ovcharenko
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manuel Guinard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manuel Guinard's form might have worsened.

Oleksandr Ovcharenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oleksandr Ovcharenko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manuel Guinard than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manuel Guinard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandr Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oleksandr Ovcharenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Guinard is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ovcharenko in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manuel Guinard
ITF Tournaments
06.04.24	Manuel Guinard - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:0 ✺
05.04.24	Manuel Guinard - Maxence Bertimon	2:0 ✺
04.04.24	Manuel Guinard - Aziz Ouakaa	2:0 ✺
02.04.24	Manuel Guinard - Arthur Bonnaud	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.03.24	Federico Coria - Manuel Guinard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWWWL
- Oleksandr Ovcharenko
ITF Tournaments
06.04.24	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	2:0 ✺
05.04.24	Daniel Bagnolini - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
04.04.24	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Louis Wessels	2:0 ✺
03.04.24	Dominik Kellovsky - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
24.03.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW

Manuel Guinard - Oleksandr Ovcharenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide