Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tunis, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday


	Ilia Simakin		Laurent Lokoli

	1	2
			Watch
	2.32	1.54
	2.37	1.64
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (1.85)	1.56 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ilia Simakin
39.9%

Laurent Lokoli
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilia Simakin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilia Simakin's form might have worsened.

Laurent Lokoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Laurent Lokoli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilia Simakin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laurent Lokoli than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Laurent Lokoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ilia Simakin - Laurent Lokoli Predictions

Users Predictions: Laurent Lokoli will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Simakin is ranked ATP: 245. Lokoli is ranked ATP: 437.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Lokoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lokoli will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Ilia Simakin - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Laurent Lokoli - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
23.04.26	Ilia Simakin - Soon Woo Kwon	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Alex Bolt - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
14.04.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Ilia Simakin	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Pavel Kotov - Ilia Simakin	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Daniil Ostapenkov - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLLW
- Laurent Lokoli
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Enrico Dalla Valle - Laurent Lokoli	Dalla Valle E. Retired ✺
10.05.26	Laurent Lokoli - Milos Karol	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Laurent Lokoli - Tom Paris	Lokoli L. Retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.04.26	Noah Lopez - Laurent Lokoli	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Leonardo Primucci - Laurent Lokoli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 ?W?LW

Upcoming Matches