Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Perugia - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 1 June 2026, Monday


	Manuel Mazza		Nicolas Alvarez Varona

	1	2
			Watch
	2.6	1.44	Watch
	2.72	1.48
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.63	1.44
	2.62	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.23)	1.44 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manuel Mazza
35.3%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manuel Mazza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manuel Mazza's form might have worsened.

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Alvarez Varona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manuel Mazza than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manuel Mazza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Alvarez Varona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Manuel Mazza - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alvarez Varona will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mazza is ranked ATP: 534. Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 475.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Mazza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Alvarez Varona is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manuel Mazza
ATP Challenger
31.05.26	Ioannis Xilas - Manuel Mazza	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.05.26	Matteo Sciahbasi - Manuel Mazza	2:1 ✺
27.05.26	Andrea Zanini - Manuel Mazza	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.05.26	Giovanni Oradini - Manuel Mazza	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Manuel Mazza - Laurent Lokoli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWLW
- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
31.05.26	Benjamin Winter Lopez - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.05.26	Oriol Roca Batalla - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:0 ✺
21.05.26	Manel Lazaro Juncadella - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	Younes Lalami Laaroussi - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.05.26	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLWWL

Manuel Mazza - Nicolas Alvarez Varona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide