Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Miyazaki, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday


	Tung-Lin Wu		Hiroki Moriya

	1	2
	1.3	3.4
	1.32	3.1	Watch
	1.35	3.34
	1.32	3.1	Watch
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.32	3.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.55)	3.17 ↑ (2.29)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tung-Lin Wu
70.5%

Hiroki Moriya
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tung-Lin Wu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tung-Lin Wu's performance.

Hiroki Moriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hiroki Moriya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tung-Lin Wu than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tung-Lin Wu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hiroki Moriya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tung Lin Wu - Hiroki Moriya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Wu is ranked ATP: 358. Moriya is ranked ATP: 457.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Moriya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Wu might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Wu won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Hiroki Moriya - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.43%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tung-Lin Wu
ATP Challenger
02.04.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Paul Jubb	2:1 ✺
31.03.26	Rio Noguchi - Tung-Lin Wu	0:2 ✺
24.03.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Imanol Lopez Morillo	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Sergey Betov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWW
- Hiroki Moriya
ATP Challenger
01.04.26	Hiroki Moriya - James Kent Trotter	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Hiroki Moriya - Koki Matsuda	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Hiroki Moriya - Yusuke Takahashi	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Hiroki Moriya - Karol Filar	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Masamichi Imamura - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.11.22	Hiroki Moriya - Tung-Lin Wu	1:2
09.11.20	Hiroki Moriya - Tung-Lin Wu	0:2
14.10.19	Hiroki Moriya - Tung-Lin Wu	2:1

Tung-Lin Wu - Hiroki Moriya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide