Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SHANGHAI (CHINA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 2 October 2023, Monday


	Marc Polmans		Alibek Kachmazov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.25
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.18
	1.67	2.24
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.61	2.21	Watch
	1.66	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.7)	2.19 ↑ (2.06)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marc Polmans
57.2%

Alibek Kachmazov
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marc Polmans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Alibek Kachmazov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marc Polmans than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Marc Polmans - Alibek Kachmazov Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Polmans will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Kachmazov will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Kachmazov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marc Polmans
ATP Zhuhai
23.09.23	Marc Polmans - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
21.09.23	Marc Polmans - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
20.09.23	Marc Polmans - Arthur Weber	2:0 ✺
19.09.23	Marc Polmans - Bohua Dong	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.09.23	Terence Atmane - Marc Polmans	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWWL
- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Astana
29.09.23	Adrian Mannarino - Alibek Kachmazov	2:1 ✺
28.09.23	Alibek Kachmazov - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
27.09.23	Alibek Kachmazov - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
26.09.23	Fabian Marozsan - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
21.09.23	Christopher OConnell - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWWWL

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