Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelia - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Marc Polmans		Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

	1	2
			Watch
	1.47	2.45	Watch
	1.51	2.63
	1.44	2.6	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.51)	2.53 ↑ (2.43)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marc Polmans
63.1%

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marc Polmans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marc Polmans than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Marc Polmans - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Polmans will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Gonzalez Fernandez will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Polmans is ranked ATP: 362. Gonzalez Fernandez is ranked ATP: 589.

Polmans has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Gonzalez Fernandez has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Polmans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Polmans is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marc Polmans
ATP Challenger
17.03.26	Tyler Zink - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Stefan Kozlov - Marc Polmans	2:1 ✺
09.03.26	Shu Matsuoka - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Marc Polmans - Hayato Matsuoka	1:2 ✺
09.02.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Marc Polmans	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWL?
- Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
ATP Challenger
15.03.26	Takeru Yuzuki - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.03.26	Joao Domingues - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Goncalo Marques	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Giles Hussey - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Henry Searle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWLW

Marc Polmans - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide