Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SHANGHAI (CHINA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - FINAL

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday


	Marc Polmans		Stefano Napolitano

	1	2
			Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.68	2.1
	1.67	2.16
	1.72	2.16
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.59	2.25	Watch
	1.64	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.75)	2.15 ↑ (1.98)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marc Polmans
56.4%

Stefano Napolitano
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marc Polmans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Stefano Napolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marc Polmans than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Marc Polmans - Stefano Napolitano Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Polmans will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Napolitano will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napolitano: 29% – 96%.

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Preview

Polmans is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Napolitano is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Napolitano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Polmans won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marc Polmans
ATP Shanghai
02.10.23	Marc Polmans - Alibek Kachmazov	2:1 ✺
ATP Zhuhai
23.09.23	Marc Polmans - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
21.09.23	Marc Polmans - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
20.09.23	Marc Polmans - Arthur Weber	2:0 ✺
19.09.23	Marc Polmans - Bohua Dong	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWW
- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Shanghai
02.10.23	Omar Jasika - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
ATP Astana
26.09.23	Taro Daniel - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
ATP Zhuhai
19.09.23	Stefano Napolitano - Luke Saville	0:2 ✺
18.09.23	Stefano Napolitano - Omni Kumar	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.23	Stefano Napolitano - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.03.19	Marc Polmans - Stefano Napolitano	2:0

Marc Polmans - Stefano Napolitano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide