Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: GENOVA (ITALY), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 8 September 2023, Friday


	Stefano Napolitano		Thiago Seyboth Wild

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.72	1.5
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.38	1.55	Watch
	2.55	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.69)	1.51 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Napolitano
37.2%

Thiago Seyboth Wild
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

67.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Thiago Seyboth Wild has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Seyboth Wild than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Stefano Napolitano - Thiago Seyboth Wild Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Napolitano will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Seyboth Wild will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Napolitano is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Seyboth Wild in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Napolitano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Seyboth Wild will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Seyboth Wild to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Challenger
07.09.23	Miljan Zekic - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
05.09.23	Matteo Gigante - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
02.09.23	Stefano Napolitano - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
01.09.23	Stefano Napolitano - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
31.08.23	Fabio Fognini - Stefano Napolitano	Fognini F. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLW?
- Thiago Seyboth Wild
ATP Challenger
07.09.23	Andrea Picchione - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
05.09.23	Riccardo Bonadio - Thiago Seyboth Wild	1:2 ✺
03.09.23	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
02.09.23	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Benoit Paire	2:0 ✺
01.09.23	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Rudolf Molleker	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWW

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