Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Idanha-a-Nova, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday


	Marc Polmans		Tristan McCormick

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.8
			Watch
	1.37	2.97
	1.42	2.62	Watch
	1.44	2.62
			Watch
	1.62	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.62)	2.64 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marc Polmans
64.7%

Tristan McCormick
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marc Polmans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marc Polmans's performance.

Tristan McCormick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tristan McCormick might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marc Polmans than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marc Polmans that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan McCormick than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tristan McCormick could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marc Polmans - Tristan McCormick Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Polmans is ranked ATP: 439. McCormick is ranked ATP: 526.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Polmans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Polmans might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Polmans won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marc Polmans
ITF Tournaments
14.08.25	Marc Polmans - Younes Lalami Laaroussi	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	Marc Polmans - Juan Jose Bianchi	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.07.25	Adria Soriano Barrera - Marc Polmans	2:1 ✺
27.07.25	Tomas Pinho - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
27.07.25	Joao Domingues - Marc Polmans	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLW?
- Tristan McCormick
ITF Tournaments
14.08.25	Tiago Cacao - Tristan McCormick	1:2 ✺
12.08.25	Joao Graca - Tristan McCormick	0:2 ✺
05.08.25	Roger Pascual Ferra - Tristan McCormick	2:0 ✺
01.08.25	Tristan McCormick - Mario Martinez Serrano	1:2 ✺
31.07.25	Tristan McCormick - Niccolo Ciavarella	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.04.25	Tristan McCormick - Marc Polmans	2:0

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