The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera 67.3%
Elmar Ejupovic 32.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70.6%
29.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
74.4%
25.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Elmar Ejupovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmar Ejupovic than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elmar Ejupovic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Elmar Ejupovic Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Barrios Vera will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Ejupovic will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Barrios Vera: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Recent matches Barrios Vera is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Ejupovic is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Barrios Vera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.