Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 July 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Eger R. (Ita)


	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera		Federico Arnaboldi

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.44	2.6
	1.5	2.43	Watch
	1.5	2.63
	1.44	2.65	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.4	2.84	Watch
	1.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.32)	2.6 ↓ (3.13)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
64.1%

Federico Arnaboldi
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera's form might have worsened.

Federico Arnaboldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Federico Arnaboldi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Federico Arnaboldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Barrios Vera will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Arnaboldi will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barrios Vera: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Recent matches Barrios Vera is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arnaboldi is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Barrios Vera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Barrios Vera will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.24	Christian Garin - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
24.06.24	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Anton Matusevich	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.06.24	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Lukas Klein	1:2 ✺
19.06.24	Hugo Gaston - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
16.06.24	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWW
- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
06.07.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Federico Arnaboldi	2:1 ✺
05.07.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Andrea Collarini	2:1 ✺
04.07.24	Oriol Roca Batalla - Federico Arnaboldi	1:2 ✺
03.07.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
02.07.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Federico Gaio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LWWWW

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Federico Arnaboldi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide