Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro (Brazil), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 February 2025, Tuesday


	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera		Jaime Faria

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.58	2.33	Watch
	1.58	2.5
	1.58	2.34	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.61	2.33	Watch
	1.58	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.7)	2.36 ↑ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
59.8%

Jaime Faria
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Jaime Faria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Jaime Faria Predictions

Users Predictions: Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 139. Faria is ranked ATP: 107.

Recent matches Barrios Vera is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Faria is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Lorenzo Musetti	Canceled ✺
16.02.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
08.02.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
02.02.25	Alexander Blockx - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 ?WWL?
- Jaime Faria
ATP Rio de Janeiro
16.02.25	Jaime Faria - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Jaime Faria - Mateus Alves	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
08.02.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
02.02.25	Benjamin Balleret - Jaime Faria	Canceled ✺
01.02.25	Valentin Vacherot - Jaime Faria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWL?L

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