Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro (Brazil) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.68	2.24
			Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.62)	2.24 ↓ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
57.1%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Barrios Vera will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ugo Carabelli: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 87. Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 138.

Ugo Carabelli is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Barrios Vera is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barrios Vera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ugo Carabelli will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ugo Carabelli won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Rio de Janeiro
15.02.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Karue Sell	2:1 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
11.02.25	Sebastian Baez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.02.25	Hugo Dellien - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:1 ✺
07.02.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWW
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Rio de Janeiro
15.02.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
08.02.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
02.02.25	Alexander Blockx - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	Canceled ✺
01.02.25	Zizou Bergs - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.01.25	Daniel Elahi Galan - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WL?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.11.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1
18.10.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0
10.10.23	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	Canceled
22.01.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1
ATP Cordoba
22.02.21	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide