Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 June 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Nottingham 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass


	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera		Tristan Schoolkate

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.53	Watch
			Watch
	2.29	1.64
			Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.29	1.58	Watch
	2.04	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.04)	1.6 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
41.6%

Tristan Schoolkate
58.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Tristan Schoolkate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Tristan Schoolkate Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Schoolkate (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Tristan Schoolkate will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 112. Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 106.

Barrios Vera has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Schoolkate is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Barrios Vera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Schoolkate will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barrios Vera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Tristan Schoolkate - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 54.69%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
16.06.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - James Kent Trotter	2:0 ✺
12.06.25	Henrique Rocha - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
10.06.25	Alexey Vatutin - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
20.05.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLW
- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Challenger
17.06.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Alexander Blockx	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Zachary Svajda	2:0 ✺
13.06.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Tristan Schoolkate	1:2 ✺
11.06.25	Henry Searle - Tristan Schoolkate	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.03.24	Tristan Schoolkate - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2

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