Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bratislava, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 June 2025, Thursday


	Henrique Rocha		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	2	1.72	Watch
			Watch
			Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	1.94	1.79	Watch
	1.85	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.85)	1.76 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henrique Rocha
47.4%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Henrique Rocha - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rocha is ranked ATP: 149. Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 111.

Rocha is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Barrios Vera has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rocha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rocha won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Henrique Rocha - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
11.06.25	Daniel Michalski - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.25	Alexander Bublik - Henrique Rocha	3:0 ✺
29.05.25	Henrique Rocha - Jakub Mensik	3:2 ✺
27.05.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Henrique Rocha	2:3 ✺
23.05.25	Henrique Rocha - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WLWWW
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
10.06.25	Alexey Vatutin - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
20.05.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Jaume Munar	1:2 ✺
06.05.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Valentin Royer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
22.05.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Henrique Rocha	0:2
ATP Challenger
07.11.24	Henrique Rocha - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1
01.11.24	Henrique Rocha - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2

Henrique Rocha - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide