Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Ilkley, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday


	Tristan Schoolkate		Zachary Svajda

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
			Watch
	2.27	1.68
			Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.23	1.61	Watch
	1.86	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.86)	1.62 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan Schoolkate
41.7%

Zachary Svajda
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Schoolkate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tristan Schoolkate's form might have worsened.

Zachary Svajda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zachary Svajda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zachary Svajda than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Tristan Schoolkate - Zachary Svajda Predictions

Users Predictions: Tristan Schoolkate will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 131. Svajda is ranked ATP: 229.

In recent matches, Schoolkate has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Svajda is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Svajda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Zachary Svajda - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.27%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Challenger
13.06.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Tristan Schoolkate	1:2 ✺
11.06.25	Henry Searle - Tristan Schoolkate	1:2 ✺
09.06.25	Harold Mayot - Tristan Schoolkate	1:2 ✺
02.06.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.25	Marton Fucsovics - Tristan Schoolkate	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLL
- Zachary Svajda
ATP Challenger
13.06.25	Zachary Svajda - Leandro Riedi	2:1 ✺
11.06.25	Marin Cilic - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Alex Bolt - Zachary Svajda	1:2 ✺
09.06.25	Kyle Edmund - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
08.06.25	Charles Broom - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWWWW

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