Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 September 2025, Wednesday


	Marco Trungelliti		Mika Brunold

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.44	2.6	Watch
	1.38	2.8	Watch
	1.46	2.79
	1.40	2.76	Watch
			Watch
	1.41	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.56)	2.79 ↑ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Trungelliti
66.4%

Mika Brunold
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marco Trungelliti's performance.

Mika Brunold has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mika Brunold might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mika Brunold than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Marco Trungelliti - Mika Brunold Predictions

Users Predictions: Marco Trungelliti will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marco Trungelliti will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 150. Brunold is ranked ATP: 316.

Trungelliti is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Brunold has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Brunold may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Trungelliti might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Trungelliti will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Marco Trungelliti - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 58.73%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
09.09.25	Marco Trungelliti - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Marco Trungelliti - Andrew Paulson	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Marco Trungelliti - Sandro Kopp	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Marco Trungelliti - Luka Mikrut	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWW
- Mika Brunold
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Mika Brunold - Dan Martin	2:0 ✺
28.08.25	David Jorda Sanchis - Mika Brunold	2:1 ✺
26.08.25	Mika Brunold - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
20.08.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Dali Blanch - Mika Brunold	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWLW

Marco Trungelliti - Mika Brunold: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide