Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday


	Mika Brunold		Henrique Rocha

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.18	1.62
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.66
	2.29	1.60	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.23	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.86)	1.59 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mika Brunold
41.3%

Henrique Rocha
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mika Brunold has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mika Brunold's form might have worsened.

Henrique Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Henrique Rocha's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mika Brunold than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mika Brunold, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Henrique Rocha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Mika Brunold - Henrique Rocha Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Brunold will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Rocha will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Brunold is ranked ATP: 289. Rocha is ranked ATP: 168.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Rocha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rocha is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Mika Brunold - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.73%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Henrique Rocha - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.27%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mika Brunold
ATP Challenger
20.08.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Dali Blanch - Mika Brunold	1:2 ✺
13.08.25	Mika Brunold - Dali Blanch	1:2 ✺
11.08.25	Mika Brunold - Oleg Prihodko	2:0 ✺
25.07.25	Harold Mayot - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWL
- Henrique Rocha
ATP US Open
22.08.25	Francesco Passaro - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Bernard Tomic - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Henrique Rocha - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Mattia Bellucci - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	Henrique Rocha - Martin Damm	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWLW

Mika Brunold - Henrique Rocha: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide