Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday


	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano		Anhelina Kalinina

	1	2
			Watch
	1.9	1.75
	2	1.87
	1.94	1.83	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.89	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.87)	1.81 ↓ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
48.4%

Anhelina Kalinina
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Anhelina Kalinina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Camila Osorio Serrano than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anhelina Kalinina than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	0%	61.5%

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Anhelina Kalinina Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Osorio Serrano will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Kalinina will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kalinina: 35% – 88%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Osorio Serrano (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Osorio Serrano is ranked WTA: 83. Kalinina is ranked WTA: 110.

Osorio Serrano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kalinina is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kalinina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Osorio Serrano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Anhelina Kalinina - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
WTA Madrid
23.04.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Anastasia Zakharova - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	0:2 ✺
WTA Bogota
02.04.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Jasmin Ortenzi	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Caroline Dolehide	2:1 ✺
WTA Miami
20.03.26	Karolina Muchova - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLWL
- Anhelina Kalinina
WTA Madrid
25.04.26	Anhelina Kalinina - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Marie Bouzkova - Anhelina Kalinina	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Anhelina Kalinina - Kamilla Rakhimova	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Sloane Stephens - Anhelina Kalinina	1:2 ✺
20.04.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Anhelina Kalinina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roland Garros
27.05.24	Anhelina Kalinina - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	Kalinina A. retired
WTA Austin
28.02.24	Anhelina Kalinina - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	2:0

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