Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Auckland, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday


	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano		Petra Marcinko

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2	1.78
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	2.02	1.76	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.01	1.8	Watch
	1.96	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.13)	1.77 ↑ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
47.1%

Petra Marcinko
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Petra Marcinko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.9%	0%	61.1%

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Petra Marcinko Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Osorio Serrano will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Marcinko will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marcinko: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Petra Marcinko will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Osorio Serrano is ranked WTA: 77. Marcinko is ranked WTA: 84.

Marcinko is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Marcinko will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Petra Marcinko - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 55.56%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
15.11.25	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Antonia Ruzic	2:0 ✺
14.11.25	Linda Noskova - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	2:0 ✺
WTA Jiujiang
28.10.25	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Elisabaetta Cocciaretto	Osorio C. retired ✺
WTA Guangzhou
23.10.25	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Ann Li	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WL?LW
- Petra Marcinko
ITF Tournaments
07.12.25	Vera Zvonareva - Petra Marcinko	0:2 ✺
06.12.25	Petra Marcinko - Xinyu Gao	2:1 ✺
05.12.25	Arantxa Rus - Petra Marcinko	Rus A. retired ✺
04.12.25	Harriet Dart - Petra Marcinko	1:2 ✺
02.12.25	Viktoria Hruncakova - Petra Marcinko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WW?WW

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