Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday


	Daria Saville		Maria Lourdes Carle

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.25
	1.61	2.18	Watch
	1.6	2.35
	1.61	2.22	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.64	2.18	Watch
	1.61	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.85)	2.22 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Daria Saville
58%

Maria Lourdes Carle
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daria Saville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daria Saville's performance.

Maria Lourdes Carle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maria Lourdes Carle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daria Saville than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daria Saville that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maria Lourdes Carle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Daria Saville - Maria Lourdes Carle Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Saville will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Carle will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saville: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Saville is ranked WTA: 109. Carle is ranked WTA: 103.

Saville is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Carle is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Daria Saville - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.03%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daria Saville
WTA Indian Wells
03.03.25	Jil Belen Teichmann - Daria Saville	1:2 ✺
WTA Merida
01.03.25	Emiliana Arango - Daria Saville	2:1 ✺
28.02.25	Daria Saville - Paula Badosa	Badosa P. retired ✺
26.02.25	Daria Saville - Anhelina Kalinina	2:1 ✺
25.02.25	Marta Kostyuk - Daria Saville	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WL?WW
- Maria Lourdes Carle
WTA Indian Wells
03.03.25	Petra Martic - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
WTA Merida
24.02.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Emiliana Arango	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Emiliana Arango	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Victoria Rodriguez	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.02.25	Louisa Chirico - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLWL

Upcoming Matches