Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Osaka, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 October 2025, Monday


	Maria Sakkari		Ashlyn Krueger

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.6	Watch
	2.44	1.6
	1.54	2.48	Watch
	2.25	1.65	Watch
	1.69	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.69)	1.83 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Sakkari
46.7%

Ashlyn Krueger
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Sakkari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maria Sakkari's form might have worsened.

Ashlyn Krueger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ashlyn Krueger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Sakkari than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maria Sakkari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ashlyn Krueger than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ashlyn Krueger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Maria Sakkari - Ashlyn Krueger Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Sakkari will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Krueger will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Krueger: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 Games - Krueger (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ashlyn Krueger will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakkari (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Krueger (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sakkari is ranked WTA: 56. Krueger is ranked WTA: 50.

Sakkari has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Krueger is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sakkari may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sakkari won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Sakkari
WTA Beijing
25.09.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Maria Sakkari	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Ashlyn Krueger - Maria Sakkari	1:2 ✺
WTA Guadalajara
09.09.25	Maria Sakkari - Elsa Jacquemot	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
30.08.25	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Maria Sakkari	2:0 ✺
28.08.25	Maria Sakkari - Anna Bondar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLW
- Ashlyn Krueger
WTA Wuhan
05.10.25	Ashlyn Krueger - Hailey Baptiste	1:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
24.09.25	Ashlyn Krueger - Maria Sakkari	1:2 ✺
WTA Seoul
15.09.25	Ashlyn Krueger - Eva Lys	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
28.08.25	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Ashlyn Krueger	2:1 ✺
26.08.25	Ashlyn Krueger - Sofia Kenin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Beijing
24.09.25	Ashlyn Krueger - Maria Sakkari	1:2

Maria Sakkari - Ashlyn Krueger: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide