Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Maria Sakkari		Claire Liu

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.66
	1.51	2.86
	1.49	2.62	Watch
	1.5	2.6
	1.52	2.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.51)	2.7 ↑ (2.52)

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Maria Sakkari
64.5%

Claire Liu
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Sakkari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Claire Liu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Sakkari than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Claire Liu than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Maria Sakkari - Claire Liu Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sakkari will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Liu will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sakkari: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Sakkari is ranked WTA: 49. Liu is ranked WTA: 182.

In recent matches, Sakkari has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Liu is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Liu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sakkari could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Maria Sakkari - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 62.53%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Sakkari
WTA Roland Garros
26.05.26	Linda Noskova - Maria Sakkari	0:2 ✺
WTA Strasbourg
17.05.26	Maria Sakkari - Peyton Stearns	0:2 ✺
WTA Roma
08.05.26	Maria Sakkari - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Lilli Tagger - Maria Sakkari	1:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
24.04.26	Karolina Pliskova - Maria Sakkari	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLWL
- Claire Liu
WTA Roland Garros
26.05.26	Claire Liu - Moyuka Uchijima	Uchijima M. Retired ✺
22.05.26	Lulu Sun - Claire Liu	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	Claire Liu - Katarzyna Kawa	2:0 ✺
19.05.26	Laura Pigossi - Claire Liu	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.05.26	Claire Liu - Anna Siskova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 ?WWWW

Upcoming Matches