Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Court Simonne-Mathieu (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Maria Sakkari		Maja Chwalinska

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
			Watch
	2.1	1.7
	2.19	1.77
	2.12	1.72	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.16	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.9)	1.74 ↓ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Sakkari
45%

Maja Chwalinska
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Sakkari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maria Sakkari's form might have worsened.

Maja Chwalinska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maja Chwalinska's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Sakkari than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maria Sakkari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maja Chwalinska than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maja Chwalinska, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48.5%	0%	51.5%

Maria Sakkari - Maja Chwalinska Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Sakkari will win (votes: 16 - 48.5%). Chwalinska will win (votes: 17 - 51.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chwalinska: 34.4% – 68.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakkari (votes: 2 - 40%). Chwalinska (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sakkari is ranked WTA: 49. Chwalinska is ranked WTA: 114.

In recent matches, Sakkari has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chwalinska is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sakkari may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Chwalinska will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sakkari won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Sakkari
WTA Roland Garros
28.05.26	Maria Sakkari - Claire Liu	2:1 ✺
26.05.26	Linda Noskova - Maria Sakkari	0:2 ✺
WTA Strasbourg
17.05.26	Maria Sakkari - Peyton Stearns	0:2 ✺
WTA Roma
08.05.26	Maria Sakkari - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Lilli Tagger - Maria Sakkari	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLLW
- Maja Chwalinska
WTA Roland Garros
28.05.26	Maja Chwalinska - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
25.05.26	Maja Chwalinska - Qinwen Zheng	2:0 ✺
21.05.26	Maja Chwalinska - Suzan Lamens	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Maja Chwalinska - Carole Monnet	2:0 ✺
18.05.26	Maja Chwalinska - Alice Rame	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roma
06.05.25	Maria Sakkari - Maja Chwalinska	2:1

Maria Sakkari - Maja Chwalinska: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide