Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday


	Maria Timofeeva		Gabriela Knutson

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.36	2.95
	1.35	2.95	Watch
	1.36	2.94	Watch
	1.34	3.15
	1.35	2.94	Watch
	1.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.55)	2.98 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Timofeeva
68.8%

Gabriela Knutson
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Timofeeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maria Timofeeva's performance.

Gabriela Knutson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gabriela Knutson might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Timofeeva than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maria Timofeeva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriela Knutson than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gabriela Knutson could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Maria Timofeeva - Gabriela Knutson Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Timofeeva will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Timofeeva is ranked WTA: 87., and Knutson is ranked WTA: 163..

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Timofeeva could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Timofeeva holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Gabriela Knutson - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.26%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Timofeeva
ATP Challenger
23.09.26	Maria Timofeeva - Kajsa Rinaldo Persson	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Maria Timofeeva - Sofia Johnson	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
03.09.26	Maria Timofeeva - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Tamara Zidansek - Maria Timofeeva	0:2 ✺
WTA Monterrey
26.08.26	Maria Timofeeva - Ann Li	Li A. Walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLW?
- Gabriela Knutson
ATP Challenger
23.09.26	Ayana Akli - Gabriela Knutson	1:2 ✺
22.09.26	Katherine Sebov - Gabriela Knutson	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Gabriela Knutson - Lisa Pigato	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Mia Pohankova - Gabriela Knutson	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Malaika Rapolu - Gabriela Knutson	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWW

Maria Timofeeva - Gabriela Knutson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide