Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CURITIBA (BRAZIL), CLAY

Date: 24 October 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: CURITIBA (BRAZIL) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Mariano Navone		Juan Pablo Ficovich

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Mariano Navone
70.5%

Juan Pablo Ficovich
29.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mariano Navone's performance.

Juan Pablo Ficovich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Pablo Ficovich might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Ficovich than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

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Navone Mariano - withdrawn.

Navone in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Ficovich is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ficovich could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Navone is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Navone to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Navone won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Navone
ATP Challenger
21.10.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
20.10.23	Mariano Navone - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
19.10.23	Mariano Navone - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
18.10.23	Francisco Comesana - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
17.10.23	Mariano Navone - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWWW
- Juan Pablo Ficovich
ATP Challenger
16.10.23	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Pedro Boscardin Dias	1:2 ✺
15.10.23	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Lucio Ratti	2:0 ✺
10.10.23	Federico Coria - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:1 ✺
02.10.23	Guido Andreozzi - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:1 ✺
26.09.23	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Elmar Ejupovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL

ATP Challenger
24.06.22	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Mariano Navone	1:2
18.06.22	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Mariano Navone	1:2

Mariano Navone - Juan Pablo Ficovich