Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SANTA FE 2 (ARGENTINA), CLAY - FINAL

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Andrea Pellegrino		Mariano Navone

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	1.98	1.75
	2.04	1.83
	2.05	1.83
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.98	1.78	Watch
	2.06	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.02)	1.77 ↑ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
46.9%

Mariano Navone
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Mariano Navone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Andrea Pellegrino - Mariano Navone Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pellegrino will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Navone will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Pellegrino is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Navone in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Pellegrino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Navone to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
20.10.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
19.10.23	Federico Coria - Andrea Pellegrino	Coria F. retired ✺
18.10.23	Marco Trungelliti - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
16.10.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Jan Choinski	Pellegrino A. retired ✺
11.10.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 W?W?L
- Mariano Navone
ATP Challenger
20.10.23	Mariano Navone - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
19.10.23	Mariano Navone - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
18.10.23	Francisco Comesana - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
17.10.23	Mariano Navone - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
15.10.23	Federico Coria - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWWW

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