Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
New-zealand	Sky Sport NOW
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Marie Bouzkova		Iga Swiatek

	1	2
	9	1.07	Watch
	7	1.09
	7.2	1.1	Watch
	7.31	1.09	Watch
	7	1.1
	7.55	1.09	Watch
	8	1.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.58 ↑ (7.31)	1.09 (1.09)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marie Bouzkova
12.6%

Iga Swiatek
87.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13%

87%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marie Bouzkova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Iga Swiatek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Marie Bouzkova - Iga Swiatek Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bouzkova will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Swiatek will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swiatek: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bouzkova (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Swiatek (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Bouzkova (3.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 18.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Bouzkova (votes: 2 - 50%). Swiatek (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bouzkova is ranked WTA: 44. Swiatek is ranked WTA: 2.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Bouzkova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Swiatek is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bouzkova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marie Bouzkova
WTA Australian Open
19.01.26	Renata Zarazua - Marie Bouzkova	0:2 ✺
WTA Adelaide
13.01.26	Mirra Andreeva - Marie Bouzkova	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Paula Badosa - Marie Bouzkova	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Marie Bouzkova - Yulia Putintseva	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	Marie Bouzkova - Aleksandra Krunic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLW
- Iga Swiatek
WTA Australian Open
19.01.26	Yue Yuan - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
WTA United Cup
11.01.26	Iga Swiatek - Belinda Bencic	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Cori Gauff - Iga Swiatek	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Maya Joint - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Iga Swiatek - Suzan Lamens	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Wuhan
07.10.25	Marie Bouzkova - Iga Swiatek	0:2
WTA Roland Garros
31.05.24	Iga Swiatek - Marie Bouzkova	2:0

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