Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Erwitte, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 August 2025, Thursday


	Marie Vogt		Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur

	1	2
	2.5	1.45
	2.55	1.45
	2.52	1.48
	2.61	1.42	Watch
	2.75	1.4
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (3.1)	1.44 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marie Vogt
35.8%

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

73%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marie Vogt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marie Vogt's performance.

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marie Vogt than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marie Vogt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Marie Vogt - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Vogt will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Steur will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vogt (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vogt is ranked WTA: 528. Steur is ranked WTA: 541.

Recent performances by Vogt have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Steur is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Steur is a strong favorite.

We predict that Steur will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marie Vogt
ITF Tournaments
12.08.25	Camilla Rosatello - Marie Vogt	1:2 ✺
23.07.25	Marie Vogt - Mia Ristic	1:2 ✺
18.07.25	Marie Vogt - Kajsa Rinaldo Persson	0:2 ✺
17.07.25	Marie Vogt - Antonia Schmidt	2:1 ✺
16.07.25	Nina Vargova - Marie Vogt	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLLWW
- Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
ITF Tournaments
12.08.25	Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Jennifer Ruggeri - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	Steur J. L. S. retired ✺
11.07.25	Sara Dols - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	0:2 ✺
10.07.25	Clarissa Blomqvist - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	0:2 ✺
09.07.25	Delia Gaillard - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 W?WWW

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