Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Lousada, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lousada 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Mariella Thamm		Ella McDonald

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Mariella Thamm
52.2%

Ella McDonald
47.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariella Thamm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Ella McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Thamm is ranked WTA: 634. McDonald is ranked WTA: 528.

McDonald has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Thamm may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Ella McDonald - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariella Thamm
ITF Tournaments
20.11.25	Mariella Thamm - Ella Haavisto	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Mariella Thamm - Gloria De Santis	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.10.25	Mariella Thamm - Mayar Sherif	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.09.25	Mariella Thamm - Iveta Dapkute	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Mariella Thamm - Jizel Matos Sequeira Fernandes	Matos Sequeira Fernandes J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WWLL?
- Ella McDonald
ITF Tournaments
20.11.25	Ana Filipa Santos - Ella McDonald	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Holly Hutchinson - Ella McDonald	0:2 ✺
11.11.25	Samira De Stefano - Ella McDonald	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Ella McDonald - Amarni Banks	1:2 ✺
24.10.25	Ella McDonald - Elena Malygina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WWLLL

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ella McDonald
ITF Tournaments
28.10.26	Ella McDonald - Elvina Kalieva	✺

Mariella Thamm - Ella McDonald