Match Info

Date: 2 November 2021, Tuesday


	Marin Cilic		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.4
	1.52	2.55	Watch
	1.53	2.4
	1.57	2.58
	1.57	2.38
	1.56	2.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.41)	2.47 ↓ (3.11)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marin Cilic
61.5%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marin Cilic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marin Cilic's form might have worsened.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marin Cilic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.1%	0%	71.9%

Marin Cilic - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: 89 users predict this event. Cilic will win (votes: 25 - 28.1%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 64 - 71.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Davidovich Fokina: 62.6% – 81.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cilic in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Davidovich Fokina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Davidovich Fokina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cilic will have a poor advantage in this game.

Cilic will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cilic won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marin Cilic
ATP St Petersburg
31.10.21	Marin Cilic - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1 ✺
30.10.21	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
29.10.21	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
28.10.21	Marin Cilic - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
27.10.21	Marin Cilic - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWWW
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Antwerp
22.10.21	Jenson Brooksby - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
20.10.21	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Christian Garin	2:1 ✺
19.10.21	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Jordan Thompson	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.10.21	Lloyd Harris - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
07.10.21	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Steve Johnson	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cologne 2
19.10.20	Marin Cilic - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Canceled
ATP Cologne
15.10.20	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Marin Cilic	2:1

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