Match Info

Date: 29 October 2021, Friday


	Roberto Bautista-Agut		Marin Cilic

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.83	1.95
	1.82	2	Watch
	1.82	1.92
	1.88	2.02
	1.8	2
	1.83	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.85)	1.99 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Bautista-Agut
52.2%

Marin Cilic
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Bautista-Agut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Marin Cilic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.5%	0%	63.5%

Roberto Bautista Agut - Marin Cilic Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Bautista-Agut will win (votes: 19 - 36.5%). Cilic will win (votes: 33 - 63.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cilic: 50.4% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Cilic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Cilic won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP St Petersburg
28.10.21	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP Antwerp
21.10.21	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Marton Fucsovics	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
11.10.21	Cameron Norrie - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:1 ✺
09.10.21	Guido Pella - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
03.09.21	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLWL
- Marin Cilic
ATP St Petersburg
28.10.21	Marin Cilic - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
27.10.21	Marin Cilic - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:0 ✺
ATP Moscow
24.10.21	Marin Cilic - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
23.10.21	Richard Berankis - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
22.10.21	Pedro Martinez Portero - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
23.01.20	Marin Cilic - Roberto Bautista-Agut	3:2
20.01.19	Marin Cilic - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:3
ATP Paris
02.11.17	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Marin Cilic	0:2
ATP Wimbledon
10.07.17	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Marin Cilic	0:3
ATP Australian Open
22.01.16	Marin Cilic - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:3
ATP Moscow
25.10.15	Marin Cilic - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0
19.10.14	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Marin Cilic	0:2

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