Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou (China), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 23 September 2024, Monday


	Marin Cilic		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3.05	1.37	Watch
	3.1	1.41
	3.04	1.42	Watch
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.02	1.39	Watch
	3.05	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.17)	1.39 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marin Cilic
31.2%

Brandon Nakashima
68.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marin Cilic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Marin Cilic - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cilic will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Nakashima will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cilic is ranked ATP: 777. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 39.

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

Nakashima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nakashima is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Nakashima to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marin Cilic
ATP Hangzhou
22.09.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Marin Cilic - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:0 ✺
18.09.24	Marin Cilic - Zachary Svajda	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.09.24	Marin Cilic - Adria Soriano Barrera	0:2 ✺
05.09.24	Marin Cilic - Kyle Edmund	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWLW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Hangzhou
22.09.24	Brandon Nakashima - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
20.09.24	Brandon Nakashima - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
14.09.24	Maximilian Marterer - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
11.09.24	Brandon Nakashima - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
01.09.24	Brandon Nakashima - Alexander Zverev	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWL

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