Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Brandon Nakashima		Alexander Zverev

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.7	1.28	Watch
	3.91	1.3
	3.97	1.25	Watch
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.85	1.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (3.4)	1.29 ↓ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
25.4%

Alexander Zverev
74.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

71.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

72.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Alexander Zverev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Brandon Nakashima - Alexander Zverev Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Zverev (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Zverev (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alexander Zverev will win (20 of 20 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexander Zverev will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Zverev (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nakashima is ranked ATP: 30. Zverev is ranked ATP: 4.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nakashima won 0.

Nakashima is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Zverev has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zverev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Zverev is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Nakashima won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 2:13. (average 0.3:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.26	Brandon Nakashima - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
27.02.26	Francis Tiafoe - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
26.02.26	Valentin Vacherot - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Brandon Nakashima - Patrick Kypson	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Brandon Nakashima - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWW
- Alexander Zverev
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.26	Matteo Berrettini - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
25.02.26	Alexander Zverev - Miomir Kecmanovic	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Alexander Zverev - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
29.01.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alexander Zverev	3:2 ✺
26.01.26	Alexander Zverev - Learner Tien	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
13.08.25	Brandon Nakashima - Alexander Zverev	0:2
ATP Stuttgart
13.06.25	Alexander Zverev - Brandon Nakashima	2:0
ATP US Open
01.09.24	Brandon Nakashima - Alexander Zverev	1:3
ATP Stuttgart
12.06.24	Alexander Zverev - Brandon Nakashima	Canceled
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.22	Alexander Zverev - Brandon Nakashima	3:0
ATP US Open
02.09.20	Brandon Nakashima - Alexander Zverev	1:3

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