Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	Marin Cilic		Novak Djokovic

	1	2
	8	1.08	Watch
	7.5	1.08	Watch
	6.75	1.07
	8.23	1.1
	7.27	1.07	Watch
	7.55	1.1	Watch
	7.8	1.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.59 ↓ (7.67)	1.08 ↓ (1.1)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marin Cilic
12.5%

Novak Djokovic
87.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Marin Cilic have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Novak Djokovic have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Marin Cilic - Novak Djokovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cilic will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Djokovic will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Djokovic: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Djokovic (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 20.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cilic is ranked ATP: 97. Djokovic is ranked ATP: 4.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cilic won 0.

Cilic has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Djokovic is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Djokovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Djokovic is the obvious favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cilic won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 10:31. (average 0.6:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marin Cilic
ATP Shanghai
01.10.25	Marin Cilic - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Marin Cilic - Corentin Moutet	Canceled ✺
ATP Beijing
25.09.25	Jannik Sinner - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
18.09.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Marin Cilic	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Marin Cilic - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 W?LLL
- Novak Djokovic
ATP US Open
05.09.25	Novak Djokovic - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
02.09.25	Novak Djokovic - Taylor Harry Fritz	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Novak Djokovic - Jan-Lennard Struff	3:0 ✺
29.08.25	Novak Djokovic - Cameron Norrie	3:1 ✺
27.08.25	Novak Djokovic - Zachary Svajda	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Tel Aviv
02.10.22	Novak Djokovic - Marin Cilic	2:0
Davis Cup World Group
03.12.21	Marin Cilic - Novak Djokovic	0:2
ATP Madrid
10.05.19	Novak Djokovic - Marin Cilic	Djokovic N. walkover
ATP World Tour Finals
16.11.18	Novak Djokovic - Marin Cilic	2:0
ATP Paris
02.11.18	Marin Cilic - Novak Djokovic	1:2
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.18	Novak Djokovic - Marin Cilic	2:1
ATP London
24.06.18	Marin Cilic - Novak Djokovic	2:1

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