Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday


	Marin Cilic		Nikoloz Basilashvili

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.01	1.81	Watch
	2.08	1.82
	2.05	1.74	Watch
	1.99	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.91)	1.8 ↓ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marin Cilic
47%

Nikoloz Basilashvili
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marin Cilic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Nikoloz Basilashvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Marin Cilic - Nikoloz Basilashvili Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Cilic will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Basilashvili will win (votes: 12 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Basilashvili: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Basilashvili (2.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nikoloz Basilashvili will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Cilic (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Basilashvili (votes: 13 - 81.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cilic is ranked ATP: 97. Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 104.

Cilic has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Basilashvili's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cilic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cilic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marin Cilic
ATP Shanghai
30.09.25	Marin Cilic - Corentin Moutet	Canceled ✺
ATP Beijing
25.09.25	Jannik Sinner - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
18.09.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Marin Cilic	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Marin Cilic - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Marin Cilic - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 ?LLLL
- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Shanghai
30.09.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Eliot Spizzirri	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Bernard Tomic	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.09.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
ATP Chengdu
21.09.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Stuttgart
10.06.21	Marin Cilic - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0

Marin Cilic - Nikoloz Basilashvili: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide