Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday


	Felix Aliassime-Auger		Marin Cilic

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	3
	1.43	3
	1.39	2.98	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.4	3.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.55)	2.99 ↑ (2.49)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felix Aliassime-Auger
68.1%

Marin Cilic
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Felix Aliassime-Auger's performance.

Marin Cilic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marin Cilic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Felix Aliassime-Auger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marin Cilic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.7%	0%	5.3%

Felix Aliassime Auger - Marin Cilic Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Cilic (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Felix Aliassime-Auger will win (18 of 18 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Felix Aliassime-Auger will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Aliassime-Auger (votes: 3 - 75%). Cilic (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 7. Cilic is ranked ATP: 51.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aliassime-Auger won 3.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cilic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Aliassime-Auger is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Aliassime-Auger won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Felix Aliassime-Auger - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 61.63%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felix Aliassime-Auger
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
04.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Grigor Dimitrov	Cabal J. S./Farah R. Walkover ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Terence Atmane	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marton Fucsovics	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.26	Arthur Fils - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 W?LWL
- Marin Cilic
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.26	Marin Cilic - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.26	Marin Cilic - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Brandon Nakashima - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
19.03.26	Marin Cilic - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Zachary Svajda - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Basel
23.10.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marin Cilic	2:0
ATP Dubai
27.02.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marin Cilic	2:1
ATP Australian Open
23.01.22	Marin Cilic - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:3
ATP Stuttgart
13.06.21	Marin Cilic - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0
ATP Paris
02.11.20	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marin Cilic	1:2
ATP Washington
01.08.19	Marin Cilic - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0

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