Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Basel, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday


	David Goffin		Marin Cilic

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.83	1.46
	2.81	1.44	Watch
	2.78	1.46	Watch
	2.44	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.45)	1.46 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

David Goffin
34.8%

Marin Cilic
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

David Goffin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Marin Cilic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for David Goffin than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

David Goffin - Marin Cilic Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Goffin will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Cilic will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cilic: 46.4% – 99%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Goffin (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): David Goffin will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Goffin (votes: 4 - 80%). Cilic (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Goffin is ranked ATP: 104. Cilic is ranked ATP: 89.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Goffin won 2.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Goffin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cilic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Goffin won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- David Goffin
ATP Basel
19.10.25	David Goffin - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Francisco Comesana - David Goffin	0:2 ✺
ATP Brussels
14.10.25	Francisco Comesana - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.25	David Goffin - Gabriel Diallo	Goffin D. retired ✺
03.10.25	Ben Shelton - David Goffin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LWL?W
- Marin Cilic
ATP Basel
19.10.25	David Goffin - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Marin Cilic - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
ATP Stockholm
15.10.25	Marin Cilic - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Marin Cilic - Novak Djokovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Basel
19.10.25	David Goffin - Marin Cilic	0:2
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.21	David Goffin - Marin Cilic	2:1
ATP Roma
16.09.20	Marin Cilic - David Goffin	2:0
ATP Basel
23.10.19	David Goffin - Marin Cilic	2:0
Exhibition Tie Break Tens Men
05.03.19	Marin Cilic - David Goffin	1:0
ATP US Open
03.09.18	Marin Cilic - David Goffin	3:0
ATP Roma
18.05.17	David Goffin - Marin Cilic	0:2

David Goffin - Marin Cilic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide