Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Mallorca, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mallorca 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Marina Bassols Ribera		Francesca Curmi

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.30
	1.61	2.25	Watch
	1.58	2.27	Watch
	1.58	2.35
	1.58	2.23	Watch
	1.60	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.75)	2.26 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marina Bassols Ribera
58.8%

Francesca Curmi
41.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marina Bassols Ribera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marina Bassols Ribera's performance.

Francesca Curmi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francesca Curmi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marina Bassols Ribera than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marina Bassols Ribera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesca Curmi than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francesca Curmi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Marina Bassols Ribera - Francesca Curmi Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bassols Ribera will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Curmi will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bassols Ribera is ranked WTA: 129., and Curmi is ranked WTA: 233..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Curmi could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Bassols Ribera has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marina Bassols Ribera
ATP Challenger
13.10.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Ida Wobker	2:0 ✺
WTA Beijing
01.10.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Kamilla Rakhimova	0:2 ✺
29.09.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Xiaodi You	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Olivia Nicholls	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.09.26	Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales - Marina Bassols Ribera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWL
- Francesca Curmi
ATP Challenger
12.10.26	Eva Vedder - Francesca Curmi	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.10.26	Francesca Curmi - Alisa Oktiabreva	0:2 ✺
08.10.26	Francesca Curmi - Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	2:0 ✺
06.10.26	Francesca Curmi - Maayan Laron	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.09.26	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Francesca Curmi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
19.05.22	Marina Bassols Ribera - Francesca Curmi	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marina Bassols Ribera
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Erika Andreeva	✺
- Francesca Curmi
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Francesca Curmi - Clara Vlasselaer	✺

Marina Bassols Ribera - Francesca Curmi