Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 CASABLANCA 2 (MOROCCO), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 28 June 2023, Wednesday


	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez		Lorenzo Carboni

	1	2
	1.72	1.95
	1.72	2.03
	1.73	2.03
	1.57	2.25
	1.69	2.05	Watch
	1.7	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.58)	2.05 ↓ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
54.9%

Lorenzo Carboni
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Lorenzo Carboni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Carboni, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Gonzalez Fernandez is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carboni is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gonzalez Fernandez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
ITF Tournaments
22.06.23	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Corentin Denolly	0:2 ✺
21.06.23	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Vladislav Ivanov	Ivanov V. retired ✺
14.06.23	Henrique Rocha - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:1 ✺
09.06.23	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Javier Barranco Cosano	0:2 ✺
07.06.23	Pedro Rodenas - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 L?LLW
- Lorenzo Carboni
ITF Tournaments
21.06.23	Lorenzo Carboni - Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa	0:2 ✺
31.05.23	Lautaro Midon - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
25.05.23	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
24.05.23	Lorenzo Carboni - Pietro Marino	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.05.23	Lorenzo Carboni - Sebastian Fanselow	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLWL

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Lorenzo Carboni: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide