Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Segovia, hard - 1/16-finalsDate: 20 July 2026, Monday
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Mario Gonzalez Fernandez |
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Miguel Tobon |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 22.00
- The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
39.1% | Miguel Tobon
60.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Miguel Tobon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez than the current prediction. (-9.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mario Gonzalez Fernandez that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miguel Tobon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Miguel Tobon Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Gonzalez Fernandez will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tobon will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Gonzalez Fernandez is ranked ATP: 600. Tobon is ranked ATP: 466.Gonzalez Fernandez has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Tobon is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Tobon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Tobon might have a minor edge in this game. The players have not played against each other recently.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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