Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pozoblanco, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 July 2026, Monday


	Tiago Pereira		Miguel Tobon

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.10
	1.65	2.05	Watch
	1.71	2.18
	1.66	2.08	Watch
	1.69	2.15	Watch
	1.68	2.06	Watch
	1.65	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.84)	2.1 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiago Pereira
55.7%

Miguel Tobon
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiago Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tiago Pereira's performance.

Miguel Tobon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miguel Tobon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tiago Pereira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miguel Tobon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Tiago Pereira - Miguel Tobon Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Pereira will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tobon will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pereira is ranked ATP: 337. Tobon is ranked ATP: 463.

In recent matches, Pereira has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tobon is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tobon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Tiago Pereira - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 39% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Pereira
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Tiago Pereira - Patrick Schoen	1:2 ✺
01.07.26	Tiago Pereira - Filippo Moroni	Moroni F. Retired ✺
25.06.26	Daniil Ostapenkov - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Vasco Leote Prata - Tiago Pereira	1:2 ✺
ATP Halle
13.06.26	Tiago Pereira - Tom Gentzsch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 L?LWL
- Miguel Tobon
ATP Challenger
30.06.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Miguel Tobon	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Miguel Tobon - Martin Krumich	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	Yanaki Milev - Miguel Tobon	0:2 ✺
09.06.26	Miguel Tobon - Alexander Vasilev	0:2 ✺
08.06.26	Pietro Ricci - Miguel Tobon	Tobon M. Walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWL?

Tiago Pereira - Miguel Tobon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide