Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OEIRAS 2 (PORTUGAL), HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 12 January 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV3


	Marius Copil		Martin Damm

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.5	1.48	Watch
	2.65	1.52
	2.65	1.52
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.49	Watch
	2.55	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.24)	1.51 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marius Copil
37.4%

Martin Damm
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marius Copil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Martin Damm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marius Copil than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marius Copil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Martin Damm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Marius Copil - Martin Damm Predictions

Users Predictions: Martin Damm will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Damm could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Damm will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Damm to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Copil won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marius Copil
ATP Challenger
11.01.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Marius Copil	0:2 ✺
10.01.24	Marius Copil - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
09.01.24	Marius Copil - Adrian Andreev	2:1 ✺
08.01.24	Marvin Moeller - Marius Copil	0:2 ✺
07.01.24	Lucas Gerch - Marius Copil	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWW
- Martin Damm
ATP Challenger
11.01.24	Joao Sousa - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
10.01.24	Paul Jubb - Martin Damm	1:2 ✺
09.01.24	Michael Geerts - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
17.11.23	Martin Damm - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
16.11.23	Martin Damm - Mats Rosenkranz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLW

Marius Copil - Martin Damm: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide