Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OEIRAS 2 (PORTUGAL), HARD (INDOOR) - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 11 January 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV3


	Joao Sousa		Martin Damm

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.8	1.92	Watch
	1.86	2
	1.87	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2.02	Watch
	1.76	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.59)	2 ↓ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Sousa
53%

Martin Damm
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joao Sousa's form might have worsened.

Martin Damm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Martin Damm's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Sousa than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joao Sousa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Martin Damm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Joao Sousa - Martin Damm Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sousa will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Damm will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

Damm could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sousa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Sousa
ATP Challenger
10.01.24	Joao Sousa - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
09.01.24	Joao Sousa - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	2:1 ✺
05.01.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Joao Sousa	2:0 ✺
04.01.24	Paul Jubb - Joao Sousa	0:2 ✺
02.01.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Joao Sousa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWW
- Martin Damm
ATP Challenger
10.01.24	Paul Jubb - Martin Damm	1:2 ✺
09.01.24	Michael Geerts - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
17.11.23	Martin Damm - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
16.11.23	Martin Damm - Mats Rosenkranz	2:0 ✺
14.11.23	Martin Damm - Alfredo Perez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.10.23	Joao Sousa - Martin Damm	1:2

Joao Sousa - Martin Damm: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide