Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CHAMPAIGN (USA), HARD (INDOOR) - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 17 November 2023, Friday


	Martin Damm		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.65	1.42
	2.7	1.42	Watch
	2.84	1.46
	2.84	1.47
	2.75	1.4
	2.8	1.41	Watch
	2.8	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.59)	1.43 ↓ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin Damm
34.1%

Alex Michelsen
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Damm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Martin Damm - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Damm will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Michelsen will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Damm: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Damm is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Michelsen is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Michelsen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Michelsen will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Michelsen to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Damm
ATP Challenger
16.11.23	Martin Damm - Mats Rosenkranz	2:0 ✺
14.11.23	Martin Damm - Alfredo Perez	2:0 ✺
08.11.23	Martin Damm - Denis Kudla	0:2 ✺
06.11.23	Michael Mmoh - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
01.11.23	Nino Serdarusic - Martin Damm	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWL
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Challenger
16.11.23	Sebastian Fanselow - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
14.11.23	Bernard Tomic - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
12.11.23	Denis Kudla - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
11.11.23	Alex Michelsen - Tennys Sandgren	2:1 ✺
10.11.23	Nishesh Basavareddy - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWW

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