Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mallorca, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday


	Mark Lajal		Felix Balshaw

	1	2
			Watch
	1.50	2.40
	1.50	2.48
	1.57	2.58
	1.45	2.56	Watch
	1.55	2.50
	1.49	2.45	Watch
	1.50	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.46)	2.48 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mark Lajal
62.2%

Felix Balshaw
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mark Lajal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Felix Balshaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Balshaw than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Mark Lajal - Felix Balshaw Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lajal is ranked ATP: 152. Balshaw is ranked ATP: 252.

Lajal has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Balshaw is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Balshaw may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lajal might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Lajal will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Mark Lajal - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 63.41%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
04.09.26	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
03.09.26	Ivan Ivanov - Mark Lajal	1:2 ✺
02.09.26	Mark Lajal - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
01.09.26	Mark Lajal - Gabi Adrian Boitan	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Mark Lajal - Motoharu Abe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW
- Felix Balshaw
ATP Challenger
04.09.26	Billy Harris - Felix Balshaw	1:2 ✺
03.09.26	Felix Balshaw - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
01.09.26	August Holmgren - Felix Balshaw	0:2 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
24.08.26	Felix Balshaw - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
23.08.26	Felix Balshaw - Sebastian Gorzny	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWLW

Mark Lajal - Felix Balshaw: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide