Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mallorca, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday


	Mark Lajal		Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.10
	1.67	2.09
	1.74	2.16
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.11
	1.66	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.84)	2.11 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mark Lajal
55.7%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mark Lajal's performance.

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mark Lajal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicolai Budkov Kjaer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mark Lajal - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lajal is ranked ATP: 152. Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 149.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Budkov Kjaer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Mark Lajal - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
01.09.26	Mark Lajal - Gabi Adrian Boitan	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Mark Lajal - Motoharu Abe	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Mark Lajal - Jordan Lee	1:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.26	Mark Lajal - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
13.08.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Mark Lajal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLLW
- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.08.26	Jesper De Jong - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
12.08.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWL

Mark Lajal - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide